Retirement Planning Advice and Financial Related Education by Barry Unterbrink, Chartered Retirement Planning Counselor

Thursday, July 06, 2023

Financial Planning Mistakes to Learn From

Major Financial Planning Mistakes
... how to learn from them and plan optimally


Dear Clients and Friends,

First off, where did 2023 go thus far? It’s half over and
I’m surely behind in many areas of my life! Hope you're ahead of the game so to speak in your neck of the woods.

We learn from our mistakes – hopefully. But it’s wiser to
learn from other people's mistakes - agree?

If you’ve read my blog posts over the years, you know that I
emphasize the pitfalls of many investments and savings products and I think tell a ‘well-balanced’ story to help you decide if you have enough information to make good decisions. If you can avoid the 'high risk' dumb decisions, what's left probably is a candidate for a higher success rate I say.

It’s an important topic, folks. Your money and health care are at stake here.
So, now that you’ve got your thinking caps on, let’s dive into
what I feel are 4 of the most important personal finance mistakes using real life examples from family and clients / friends.

1. Mistake – Keeping too much of your assets in retirement accounts. Funding your retirement account is a good thing generally. You defer taxes on those earnings, and can then time when you take the money out in later years when you need it; and hopefully pay less tax than when you were working.

But, that retirement money is tied up until you are 59-1/2 years or older usually. And if you need it before then, penalties apply.

Life Example
: A friend lost his job at age 53 and then became sick and unable to work for over a year. He had very little money outside of retirement accounts (just enough to live month-to-month), and was faced with both TAXES and a 10% penalty on his pre 59-1/2 IRA withdrawals. Guidelines here are to have 6 months of living expenses set aside outside retirement accounts. Keep it accessible in a bank or brokerage money market / or savings account that’s easily convertible to cash on a few days notice.

2. Mistake – Not updating or changing ownership of important assets like real estate and financial accounts.

One never knows when injury, sickness or death will occur, so it’s best not to postpone financial decsions in this area. Optimally, do this when you are healthy.  Two friends, Bob and Paula (not real names), lived together 10+ years and were a committed unmarried-couple. Paula, being 10+ years older became ill; in-n-out of hospitals. Their intention was for Bob to own the townhouse property (in her name) after her death. The title change never occurred! I remember my heart-felt conversation with Bob after Paula’s passing. “Barry, we were planning to get that done, but it was always something; a medical appointment, we were tired, it was raining the day on our appointment”. After Paula’s passing, at a young 73, Bob had no legal claim to the property, and it became part of Paula’s estate to be sold by her family. 

Lesson:
Get your intentions written down and filed with the appropriate jurisdiction.

#2 above would also apply to your naming beneficiaries on your financial accounts also. Think IRA’s, 401(k), non-retirement brokerage accounts. Get the forms from your financial institution and record them with the institution.

3. Mistake – Mortgage mayhem.  A real estate friend shared this story with me a few months ago. A man, who was well-versed in financial matters, acquired a condominium with his family’s support. They together were on the deed; they all owned a percentage of the property and paid the mortgage, insurance and maintenance fees. It carried a 30 year-mortgage that was refinanced at 4.25% about 10 years ago. So, no worries, right? 4.25% for 20 more years, fixed rate – that would be competitive in today’s rate market where 15 and 30 year mortgages are 6.6% to 7.2% respectively. Table source: BankRate.com

Source: BankRate.com

Mayhem: the borrowers get a letter this Spring from the lender, a Florida Bank, stating that their ADJUSTABLE rate mortgage (ARM) will ‘adjust’ this October based upon the Secured Overnight Financing Rate and the bank’s formulae used with that. “WHAT?, the man’s son shared with me. Dad said it was a fixed-rate loan. The family thought it was a fixed rate loan”.

What to do now? Pay down the loan by assessing more to each owner? Accept the higher interest rate? Sell the condo? Lesson:
Read your documents carefully before and after your property closing if you are the BUYER. Read every page of your documents; read them more than once. Ask questions early when you may have time to correct them. Did the bank make a document mistake; intentionally? Doesn’t matter, the borrowers signed it!

4.  Mistake – Get your legal documents in place concerning your money and your health. The BIG 4 I call them: Health-Care surrogate, Durable Power-of-Attorney, Living Will, and Last Will and Testament. These give your trusted family and friends authority to handle your affairs (financial and medical) when you are alive and unable to communicate your wishes. Your Last Will and Testament gives instructions to the court who will administer your estate and inherit your assets after your death. The Living Will expresses your wishes regarding terminal health conditions and do not resuscitate orders.

This one hits home quite personally for me. My single friend of 30+ years was battling an incurable disease and I was doing what I could to comfort him the past couple years; help with his medical appointments and some bill-paying. Turns out, he didn’t have any legal documents completed as listed above, but he told me he had them 'handled' with his sibling.

With no documents directing his affairs, I enlisted a sharp notary public who helped me personalize the forms. We met at his living facility, had them signed, witnessed, and notarized.

Ready for this?
Later that day, after I left, he was admitted to the hospital, and they called me as his contact, stating that he had been admitted and he could not communicate his wishes; and DID I HAVE AUTHORITY TO ACT ON HIS BEHALF with Medical and Financial matters? A few taps on my smart-phone with his information in a cloud-file, and the hospital had the Health Care Surrogate and Living Will documents signed, notarized and delivered to them. 

So there you are: my list of 4 important financial planning mistakes that can have a significant impact on both your health and wealth. I'm sure I'll think of a few more. It's easy to put these off, being optimistic that tomorrow will be pretty much like today. As actress and Poet Maya Angelou (1928-2014) quoted "hope for the best, plan for the worst".

I'll 'hope' this helped you understand this topic better. Now you and I best get movin' and get our houses in order!

~Barry
(954) 560-3622

P.S. This blog is not to be construed as tax or legal advice. Please consult a legal or tax professional with your particular situation. If you don't know where to start, give me a call. I can offer some ideas or a referral.

  



Sunday, January 01, 2023

Quick Review of 2022 Market Performance

 Dear Clients and Friends-

Here's my 'back of the envelope' figures for the financial markets for the year ended 2022 (last year !) What will 2023 bring investors?

It was the worst year for stocks and bonds since 2008. But there is good news ahead too! Read on.

$100,000 invested in .... 

 STOCKS, S&P 500 Index,  now        $ 80,560
                   Dow Jones Industrials     $ 91,220
                   Nasdaq Composites)        $ 67,000

BONDS, 10 year U.S. Treasury Note  $ 84,850
                 Corporate Bonds, AGG         $ 87,170

GOLD,  Gold Bullion, Gold Coins      $ 96,660
SILVER, Silver Bullion, Coins           $ 103,725

TOP SECTOR, Energy (XLE)            $ 158,320






                                                          BOTTOM DWELLERS,
        Technology .....    $70,000
        Real Estate .....    $ 74,000

OTHER: industry groups of note:
                       ~ Aerospace and Defense     $113,780
                       ~ Food Producers                   $107,680
                       ~ Life Insurance                     $ 106,700

The good news!

Market history favors 2023 to be a positive year.

Stocks (S&P 500) have fallen two consecutive years or more  just twice since 1958; in 1973-74 and in 2000-2002. The near 20% loss last year has been matched or exceeeded just 3 times; it's fallen 20% or more in 1974, 2002 and 2008. So is it a 'no brainer"? Maybe. Stocks could end 2023 just up slightly, and not make up the losses. Or stocks could recover and just trade in a range that's difficult to make money without a clear trend up.

Note that Energy and Gold/Silver did very well last year comparatively to offset the general market losses in stocks and bonds. Will that trend help investors again in 2023?

Stay tuned!



Friday, November 11, 2022

Stocks, Bonds, Gold All Fly Higher

Almost anything investable Thursday was much higher by the end of trading.
Stocks, Bonds, Gold - all added to morning gains after the Government reported more favorable consumer prices for October.

Inflation added 0.4% for October, while year-over-year backed down to +7.7% from the prior months +8.2%. "Core inflation" which does not include food and energy, was +6.3%, also lower than +6.6% prior. 

It's all about the direction of inflation now, and expectations going forward. As the table shows, consensus was higher than what was reported ... a win for inflation, at least this one report.


This is important because investors are handicapping when inflation will 'peak' and not go higher. That gives some confidence that interest rates may stop rising, or rise slower.
With that backdrop, investors went on a feeding frenzy, with gains of 3.7% to 7.3% Thursday in the popular benchmarks S&P 500, Dow Industrials, and Nasdaq Composite. The tote board at the close.

The widely quoted Dow added 1,201 points, or +3.7% and S&P 500 +5.5%. It was the best day since early 2020!

Bond prices rallied and interest rates fell fast in the day's trading. Investors want to lock in the recent high rates anticipating rates won't go noticably higher. When bond prices rise, interest rates fall. The 10-year US Treasury Note fell from 4.15% to 3.83%, a big one day move.

Gold, which had been stuck in the mud below $1,700 for most of October, shot up $30 and ounce Thursday, and has added $100 in the last 7 trading days to $1,745. 

Could this price action be signalling that a bottom is in for stock prices, and it's a smaller risk to own stocks and bonds now?

Perhaps, but it seldom works exactly this way, and one month of inflation data probably is not enough to convince the Fed to stop raising rates. Could the election results; where it looks like a divided Congress now have played into traders actions?
The House controls spending proposals, so maybe no more trillions of spending being dolled out will help ease inflation?

The Fed desires a +2% year-over-year inflation number, and that is miles away from this months +7.7%.

Still, stock prices are now up 11% on the S&P 500 and 17% ahead on the Dow Jones since the end of September. That's just 3,000 points lower on the Dow than the all-time high for the Dow back in January at 36,800. That's just a 9% run from here. That could be made up rather quickly, so pay attention to your portfolios.

We continue to favor the energy stocks, along with industrials and health-care, with 10-15% in Gold and 20% or so in short term bond funds and Treasury bills for our fixed income portion.

With two hurricane's criss-crossing Central Florida the past 6 weeks, I'm ready for some weather-stability. Hopefully financial markets will co-operate in the same fashion.

Thanks for reading!